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Gold Steadies Near $5,000 as Iran Risks, Fed Outlook in Focus

As of February 20, 2026, spot gold is trading near the $5,000 per ounce threshold, closing at approximately $5,001.07 in recent sessions. The market is currently characterized by a tug-of-war between heightened geopolitical safe-haven demand and a hawkish outlook from the Federal Reserve. 

Key Market Drivers

  • Iran Geopolitical Risks: Tensions between the U.S. and Iran have surged following reports of a potential 10-to-15-day deadline for a nuclear deal. Market speculation regarding possible U.S. military “kinetic action” has driven investors toward gold as a defensive asset.
  • Federal Reserve Outlook: Recent FOMC meeting minutes and comments from Fed Governor Stephen Miran have signaled a “higher for longer” interest rate stance. Stronger-than-expected U.S. economic data has tempered expectations for aggressive rate cuts, which typically acts as a headwind for non-yielding bullion.
  • Currency Impact: The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) remains firm above the 97.00 level. A stronger dollar generally makes gold more expensive for international buyers, capping the metal’s upside potential despite geopolitical unrest. 

Current Pricing (February 19–20, 2026)

Asset Price (Approx.)Trend
Spot Gold$5,001.07 /ozSteady
Gold Futures (April)$5,025.90 /ozUp 0.3%
MCX Gold (India)₹1,56,490 /10gUp ~₹2,290
Spot Silver$78.50 /ozLittle changed

Analysts remain divided on the long-term trajectory. While some forecast consolidation near current levels, others suggest that if geopolitical risks escalate into direct conflict, gold could test its January record high of $5,598

If you’re looking to invest, I can provide a comparison of gold investment vehicles (like ETFs vs. physical bullion) or track daily price alerts for specific regional markets.

Disclaimer

This article is intended for educational purposes only. The views and opinions expressed are those of individual analysts or brokerage firms and do not represent the views of GoldSilverReports.com. Investors are strongly advised to consult certified financial experts before making any investment or trading decisions.

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