Uptick In The Economic Environment

Uptick In The Economic Environment

Gold Silver Reports — A 25 basis points cut in the policy interest rates by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is almost given, but the real impact of falling lending cost can be felt only if the central bank goes in for a bold reduction of at least 50 bps, an overwhelming majority of CEOs polled in an ASSOCHAM survey pointed out.

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Is The Authenticity Of GDP Data Questionable?

Gold Silver Reports ~ While recent GDP readings have showed inconsistency repeatedly, investors should not ignore GDP readings totally, said IHS chief economist Nariman Behravesh.

But there are at least three different problems with the GDP data series. The first is seasonality; there are huge swings in seasonality – for instance the first-quarter data is almost always underestimated. The government doesn’t seem to know how to deal with the first-quarter GDP data – whether it’s bad weather or something else.     

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The Economy and Direction of Monetary Policy

The Economy and Direction of Monetary Policy

Gold Silver Reports ~ U.S. stocks declined in thin trading as commodity shares followed crude prices lower, while investors awaited further clues on the economy and direction of monetary policy.            

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India’s Loan Growth Has Few Believers

India's Loan Growth Has Few Believers

Gold Silver Reports ~ A rebound in loan growth to a 20-month high sounds like good news for Indian banks as they struggle to shake off the impact of a surge in bad debts. But a deeper dive into the reasons behind the revival shows it may be unsustainable.    

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