Yellow Metal: Gold Eyes a Firm Break Above $1795 Amid Growing Inflation Fears

Gold price reached a four-day high at $1789 in the Asian trades and went on to consolidate the three-day advance all through the day, ending Thursday marginally higher at $1783.

The two-way movements in gold price were mainly driven by the price action in the US dollar and Treasury yields price action that has been the underlying key catalysts so far this week. Resurfacing concerns over a potential default of the indebted China Evergrande Group combined with escalating inflationary fears dampened the investors’ sentiment. Mixed European corporate earnings reports added to the dour mood, triggered a rebound in the safe-haven dollar while putting a lid on gold’s upside. The near-record high close on Wall Street indices and hawkish Fed’s expectations also curbed gold bulls’ enthusiasm.

However, with the global central bankers’ underscoring growing inflation risks, gold bulls found some consolation. Gold is usually considered as a hedge against inflation, especially in light of the recent upsurge in energy prices worldwide.

Spot Gold Price Forecast: Long Term Target $1958

On the final trading day of the week, gold bulls have regained poise, as the US dollar stalls its broad recovery and returns to the red amid improving market mood. Reports that Melbourne is heading towards reopening and US President Joe Biden hopeful to reach a deal in the infrastructure spending proposals lifted the risk sentiment.

However, the main catalyst was the positive news from China Evergrande Group, with sources citing that the property development giant made an $83.5 million payment on its bond coupon on Thursday, which averted a formal default. The US rates maintain their bullish momentum, although remain off the multi-month tops.

Gold traders now look forward to the Markit Preliminary PMI reports from across the Euro area and the US for fresh signals on the economic recovery, which will likely have a significant impact on the risk tone and the dollar valuation. Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech will be also closely eyed as a relatively data-light week draws to an end.

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Neal Bhai has been involved in the Bullion and Metals markets since 1998 – he has experience in many areas of the market from researching to trading and has worked in Delhi, India. Mobile No. - 9899900589 and 9582247600

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