Crude Oil Technical Analysis: OPEC+ Needs to Act

Crude Oil prices could be set for a bear cycle as Donald Trump is set to become the next US President in January 2025. Trump has already committed in the runup to the presidential election that regulation and permitting will become less strict. At the same time, funds allocated to green energy will be diverted towards shale Oil and fossil fuel projects. That means structural additional supply is set to be released in 2025, on top of OPEC+’s foreseen supply normalization.

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​US natural gas prices are side-lined

​US natural gas prices are side-lined

Natural Gas (NG) Outlook: The recovery from Monday’s 2.665 low, made marginally above the October low at 2.636, is ongoing with US natural gas prices treading water at present. For another upside thrust to unfold, a rise above Tuesday’s high at 2.903 would need to be seen. If so, the 20 June high at 3.016 would be back in play. Further up lie the early to late October highs at 3.081-to-3.141.

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Downside Momentum likely to Accelerate Gold Below $2600

Gold

Gold Outlook: β€œThe momentum break experienced on election day typically marks the end of such moves. But if that is the case, what can we expect from here? The melt-up has created a notable margin of safety for macro fund positions, which now hold significant paper profits on their extremely bloated length. Large scale selling activity from CTAs will only kick off below $2600/oz.”

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