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Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Analysis – September 22, 2025: Trading Near All-Time Highs

Gold (XAUUSD) technical analysis: Strong buy signal at $3,706. Support levels, resistance targets, stop loss strategy. September 2025 trading guide.

Gold is currently trading at $3,706.60, just below its all-time high of $3,707.30. The chart displays a strong bullish uptrend that has gained significant momentum throughout September, with the price rising 6.6% month-to-date from $3,476.

Current Market Position: BUY Signal

Based on the technical analysis of your chart and current market conditions, gold presents a bullish outlook with a BUY recommendation, particularly on any dips to key support levels.

Key Technical Levels

Strong Support Zones:

  • $3,690 – Immediate support (current consolidation area)
  • $3,673 – Critical support zone (strong base)
  • $3,660 – Key support level
  • $3,628 – Weekly support trough
  • $3,600 – Major psychological support

Resistance Hurdles:

  • $3,707 – All-time high (current ceiling)
  • $3,720 – Next resistance target
  • $3,730 – Extended bullish target
  • $3,750-$3,800 – Long-term upside potential

Trading Strategy

Entry Strategy: Buy on Dips

  • Primary Entry: $3,690-$3,673 support zone
  • Secondary Entry: Break above $3,707 with volume confirmation
  • Stop Loss: $3,673 for long positions
  • Target Prices:
    • Short-term: $3,720
    • Medium-term: $3,730-$3,750
    • Extended: $3,800

Technical Indicators Analysis

IndicatorCurrent LevelSignal
RSI (14)77.06Neutral-Bullish
MACD83.92Buy Signal
Moving AveragesAbove 20,50,200-dayStrong Buy
ADX37.85Strong Trend
Bollinger BandsNear Upper BandBullish Momentum

The RSI at 77 indicates strong momentum without being severely overbought, while the MACD crossover confirms bullish momentum.

Market Fundamentals Supporting Gold

Bullish Drivers:

  • Federal Reserve rate cut expectations (90% probability for September)
  • Persistent geopolitical tensions
  • Central bank buying (especially Asian banks)
  • Weaker US Dollar trend
  • Inflation hedge demand

Risk Factors:

  • Dollar strength could pressure gold
  • Potential profit-taking near all-time highs
  • Economic data surprises

Trading Plan Summary

For Aggressive Traders:

  • Buy: Above $3,707 breakout
  • Stop: $3,690
  • Target: $3,730-$3,750

For Conservative Traders:

  • Buy: On dips to $3,673-$3,690
  • Stop: $3,660
  • Target: $3,720-$3,730

Key Levels to Watch

Level TypePriceAction
Critical Support$3,673Strong buy zone
Immediate Resistance$3,707Breakout level
Next Target$3,720Take profit 1
Extended Target$3,750Take profit 2

Risk Management

  • Position Size: Risk 1-2% of capital per trade
  • Stop Loss: Always below $3,673 for longs
  • Take Profits: Scale out at resistance levels
  • Time Horizon: Intraday to short-term swing trading

FAQs

Q: Should I buy gold at current levels?

A: Yes, with proper risk management. The trend remains bullish, and any dip to $3,673-$3,690 offers good entry opportunities.

Q: What’s the upside potential?

A: Immediate targets are $3,720-$3,730, with extended potential to $3,800 if momentum continues.

Q: What could trigger a sell signal?

A: A decisive break below $3,673 with volume would signal potential correction to $3,628-$3,600 levels.

Q: Is this a good time for beginners?

A: Exercise caution near all-time highs. Wait for pullbacks to support levels for better risk-reward ratios.

The technical setup strongly favors continued upside momentum, making this an attractive BUY opportunity, especially on any weakness toward the $3,673-$3,690 support zone. The trend remains your friend in this bull market for gold.

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