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Commodities Weekly Research Report March 27-31

Gold price drops 0.63% on Tuesday during the North American session with the yellow metal suffering from its safe-haven appeal as hopes of a de-escalation of the US-China trade war keep ebbs and flows going toward riskier assets like US equities. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades at $3,955, after bouncing off three-week lows beneath $3,900.

Trend SidewaysBuy Gold MCX Between 28350 – 28450, Stop Loss – 27960, Target – 29060 ↔ 29324

Trend SidewaysBuy Silver MCX Between 40400 – 40600, Stop Loss – 40000, Target – 41930 ↔ 42340

Trend DownSell Copper MCX Between 384 – 386, Stop Loss – 394, Target – 372 ↔ 368

Trend DownSell Crude MCX Oil Between 3240 – 3270, Stop Loss – 3325, Target – 3110 ↔ 3060

Trend SidewaysSell Natural Gas MCX Between 200 – 203, Stop Loss – 212, Target – 194 ↔ 188

>>> Trade With Stop Loss <<<

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Yellow metal loses safe-haven bid ahead of Trump–Xi meeting; Fed cut expectations to cushion fall

The US-China trade war seems to be fading following last week’s meeting between senior officials in Malaysia. Discussions about tariffs, shipping fees, fentanyl and rare-earth export controls had set the stage for a possible agreement as US President Donald Trump and his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping will meet on Thursday.

Meanwhile, geopolitics could cap Gold’s losses as the Jerusalem Post reported that “The response to the current violations by Hamas will be significantly greater than the response last time,” citing sources.

If hostilities in the Middle East resume, Bullion could trim some of its last two weeks’ losses and be poised to reclaim the $4,000 figure.

Gold, a traditional hedge during times of uncertainty and a non-yielding asset, has gained 51% this year, bolstered by geopolitical and trade tensions, as well as lower interest rates in the US.

Aside from this, the Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to cut rates by 25 basis points (bps) at the Wednesday’s meeting, followed by a subsequent reduction in December, according to Prime Market Terminal interest rate probability tool.