Crude Oil Technical Analysis: First signs not good

Crude Oil price might be undergoing a gruesome disappointment if OPEC+ is unable to overdeliver on market expectations. With several analysts penciling in a delay between three to six months, OPEC+ is forced to at least deliver a 6 months production normalization delay. Preferably even longer, with anything less than 6 months set to push Oil prices further down ahead of President-elect Donald Trump’s presidency. 

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Crude Oil Technical Analysis: OPEC+ Needs to Act

Crude Oil prices could be set for a bear cycle as Donald Trump is set to become the next US President in January 2025. Trump has already committed in the runup to the presidential election that regulation and permitting will become less strict. At the same time, funds allocated to green energy will be diverted towards shale Oil and fossil fuel projects. That means structural additional supply is set to be released in 2025, on top of OPEC+’s foreseen supply normalization.

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WTI appreciates to near $69.00 due to PBoC rate cuts, easing geopolitical tensions

WTI Crude Oil

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil price edges higher following a more than 7% decline registered in the previous week, trading around $68.90 per barrel during the Asian hours on Monday. However, the downside may be limited as rate cuts in China, the largest Oil importer, are expected to stimulate domestic economic activity, potentially increasing demand for Oil. The People’s Bank of China (PBoC) lowered the 1-year Loan Prime Rate (LPR) to 3.10% from 3.35% and the 5-year LPR to 3.6% from 3.85%, aligning with expectations.

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