MCX Copper Weekly Forecast: On July 18, 2025 What will happen in MCX Copper next week? What is the target price of Copper? Known from Neal Bhai.
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Where does the US get its copper?
Chile, Canada and Peru provided over 90% of US copper imports in 2024, according to the US Geological Survey.
The United States in 2024 mined an estimated 1.1 million tons of copper, according to the US Geological Survey, meeting just under half of its consumption. Arizona was home to more than 70% of domestic copper production in 2024.
Shifting economic incentives in the modern era and the opening of free trade have both contributed to a decline in US copper production, according to Pepperdine’s Parsons.
The United States in recent decades has produced less copper as the global economy liberalized, enabling the country to import relatively cheap copper from countries like Chile and allowing the US economy to expand to other industries.
Industrial buyers and Wall Street traders in recent months have shipped enormous amounts of copper to the United States to get ahead of potential tariffs. Morgan Stanley estimates 400,000 tons, or roughly six months’ worth of “extra” copper was front-loaded and delivered to the US in the early months of 2025.
The copper stockpiles could “temporarily buffer” the market when tariffs go into effect, according to Ewa Manthey, a commodity strategist at Dutch bank ING.
However, the buildup of copper won’t last forever, and it’ll be difficult for the US to produce enough copper domestically. At some point, the US will likely need to import more copper under the 50% tariff, which could risk a resurgence in inflation, Manthey said.
“Higher copper prices also risk higher inflation, raising costs for US manufacturers without a domestic alternative available,” Manthey said.
How would tariffs impact you?
It remains to be seen whether companies will absorb the higher costs or pass the costs onto consumers in the form of higher prices, although economic theory suggests businesses would pass on higher costs to consumers when possible.
Wall Street and corporate America have been expecting tariffs on copper — just not 50%.
“Investors were caught off guard, as the market had been expecting a much lower tariff rate,” Adam Turnquist, chief technical strategist at LPL Financial, said in an email.
Smaller tariff rates such as 10% can be used strategically to encourage domestic manufacturing, economists say. But a rate as high as 50% could send a shock to markets, even leading to a drop in demand because prices are just too high.
That could lead to slower economic growth across industries, such as a lull in home building.