It’s now been a couple of months that the bullish trend in Gold has been on pause; and this comes after an aggressive topside trend had taken-over this summer. After digesting over a two-month pattern from mid-April into mid-June, bulls took over to build a rally that drove for much of the next two months.
In late-July, Gold prices finally set a fresh all-time-high, taking out the $1,920 level that loomed large for more than nine years after initially being set in September of 2011.
But when that price was encountered by the recent advance in late-July, it could barely pause the move as buyers continued to push the bid. This eventually allowed for a break-through the psychological $2,000 level until, eventually a fresh all-time-high was set on August 7th.
But that same day showed the build of a bearish engulfing candlestick which will often be followed with the aim of bearish continuation; and that led to a strong pullback in early-August that saw as much as $200 taken-out.
In the months since, it’s been a steady struggle between bulls and bears as price action has formed a falling wedge formation, which will often be approached with the aim of bullish reversals.
In this case, that would be in the direction of the original trend and as looked at in last week’s webinar, this falling wedge even had similar tones to a bull flag formation, with prices pulling back before setting stage for a continuation of the original trend.
This isn’t the first time such a formation has presented itself in this bullish Gold theme. Similar instances showed up from August-December of last year, as well as February through May.
In each case, these prolonged build of digestion formations were merely pause points in the bigger picture trend; and given the current backdrop, this recent build into a falling wedge may be presenting a similar situation.
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